SKINWALKER: the first 4 hours, minute by minute

Prices are our own one-minute records. Buys vs sells are counts of trades in the past 5 minutes, not dollars. Times are UK time. Where our live records had a gap, we used the coin's case file or DexScreener prices every 2 minutes; each event names its source.

Every event, with its time and source

1. 01:07
   We first saw it on our live boardSource: lab.db event (first_seen), minute 1.
2. 01:07
   Paid profile bought on DexScreener

   DexScreener's own timestamp for the order.

   Source: lab.db event (promo), minute 1.
3. 01:07
   First check: grade F, 1 warning sign

   5 wallets bought identical bags.

   Source: outcomes.db first_check, minute 1.
4. 01:07
   Phase: Spiking

   The price was at least 3x its lowest point of the past hour.

   A paid boost, profile or ad was bought in the hour before.

   Source: phase.db phase_log 17851, minute 1.
5. 01:07
   Paid profile bought while up 5.8x in an hour

   Paid profile bought 1 minute ago on DexScreener.

   The price is up 482% over the last hour (5.8x).

   Market value $21.4k, still on its launchpad bonding curve.

   An hour later the price was 82% lower than when we logged this.

   Our read: paid attention arriving after a 3x move gives the early holders a crowd to exit into.

   Source: findings.db finding 08c98e1a0881, minute 1.
6. 01:08
   Left the launchpad for a full trading poolSource: lab.db event (graduated), minute 2.
7. 01:17
   Highest price in our minute bars, market value $74.5kSource: lab.db bar, computed, minute 10.
8. 01:20
   Price fell below half its peak, 63% down

   3 minutes after the peak.

   Source: lab.db bar, computed, minute 13.
9. 01:20
   Phase: Cooling off

   The price was 20% or more below a high set in the past hour, after a run up.

   A paid boost, profile or ad was bought in the hour before.

   Source: phase.db phase_log 17924, minute 13.
10. 01:22
    Liquidity fell 52% in 5 minutes, $22.1k to $10.6k

    Liquidity went from $22.1k to $10.6k in 5 minutes.

    The price moved -77% over the same time.

    Market value is now $17.3k.

    Source: findings.db finding b8e765de622b, minute 16.
11. 01:37
    Our grade changed 6 times in 10 minutes, ending at F

    It moved between A, B and F as new checks came in, from 01:37 to 01:47.

    Source: lab.db event (grade), 6 changes, minute 31.
12. 01:48
    Lost its clean grade: A to F

    It was graded A for 10 minutes before the drop to F.

    What appeared: 3 wallets bought identical bags.

    Price from going clean to the drop: +0.6%.

    Market value at the drop: $6k.

    Source: findings.db finding 6ff8560787e1, minute 41.
13. 01:52
    Phase: Sliding

    Each 20-minute low of the past hour was lower than the one before.

    A paid boost, profile or ad was bought in the hour before.

    Source: phase.db phase_log 18023, minute 46.
14. 01:28
    Our grade changed 5 times in 6 minutes, ending at B

    It moved between A, B and F as new checks came in, from 01:28 to 01:34.

    Source: lab.db event (grade), 5 changes, minute 81.
15. 01:35
    Phase: Settling

    No new low for 30 minutes, and the price range was narrowing.

    Source: phase.db phase_log 18248, minute 88.
16. 01:35
    Phase: Cooling off

    The price was 20% or more below a high set in the past hour, after a run up.

    Source: phase.db phase_log 18249, minute 89.
17. 02:25
    Phase: Quiet

    Under $2,000 was traded in the past hour.

    Source: phase.db phase_log 18488, minute 139.
18. 02:36
    Our grade changed 2 times in 1 minute, ending at B

    It moved between A and B as new checks came in, from 02:36 to 02:37.

    Source: lab.db event (grade), 2 changes, minute 150.
19. 02:37
    Phase: Cooling off

    The price was 20% or more below a high set in the past hour, after a run up.

    Source: phase.db phase_log 18535, minute 150.
20. 03:35
    Phase: Quiet

    Under $2,000 was traded in the past hour.

    Source: phase.db phase_log 18815, minute 208.
21. 03:36
    Phase: Sliding

    Each 20-minute low of the past hour was lower than the one before.

    Source: phase.db phase_log 18819, minute 210.
22. 26 Oct 00:01
    24 hours after launch: collapsed, 96% below the highest price we recorded

    Collapsed: the price was under a tenth of its peak, or liquidity was under $1,000 outside the launchpad.

    Source: outcomes.db outcomes.out24_status, after our minute bars end.

What the check showed before the fall