Yes. A coin with an A or B grade, no red flags and a clean RugCheck report can still lose almost all of its value, sometimes within minutes. Checks look for the tools of a rug pull that show up on-chain. The most common ways memecoins collapse today leave few or none of those marks. Read this before you treat any grade, including ours, as a reason to feel safe.
What a clean check actually means
A clean report tells you that, at the moment it was taken, the checker did not find certain specific things: active mint or freeze authority, unlocked liquidity, obvious holder concentration, linked wallets it could detect, a creator with a rug history. That is useful. It rules out some of the fastest and crudest ways to take your money.
It does not tell you who will sell, when, or why. And it is a photo, not a video.
Warning: An A grade from us means we did not find the warning signs we look for. It never means a coin is safe, and it is not a reason to buy.
Eight ways a "safe-looking" coin still collapses
1. The soft rug: selling slowly
A developer or early group with a large stash does not have to sell it all at once. They can sell a little every few minutes or hours, for days. Each sale looks like an ordinary trader taking profit.
What it looks like: a chart that keeps drifting down with steady sells, often from the same few wallets, while the team keeps posting that everything is fine. Eventually the posting stops.
What to watch: large holders whose balance is going down over time. Check the top holders again after a few hours. If the same wallets keep shrinking, someone is leaving.
2. Coordinated dumps from wallets nobody linked
Insider detection works by finding links between wallets: shared funding, transfers, matching timing. A careful group can avoid those links. Wallets funded from different exchange accounts, set up weeks earlier, buying different amounts at different times, look like strangers to every checker.
When the group sells together, the effect is exactly the same as a bundle dump. The coin passed the insider check because the insiders were well hidden, not because they were absent.
What to watch: several large wallets selling within the same few minutes. On DexScreener's trades list, a run of big sells from different wallets at once is a warning.
3. Liquidity draining through selling, even with burned LP
A burned liquidity pool cannot be withdrawn by its creator. It can still be emptied by people selling into it. Every sell takes SOL out of the pool. If enough holders sell, the pool ends up with very little SOL, and the price falls with it.
"LP burned" protects against one kind of rug: the creator pulling the pool. It does nothing about holders selling. See liquidity locks and burns.
What to watch: the liquidity figure, not just the lock status. Liquidity falling fast while the price falls means sellers are draining it.
4. Fake volume and bots
Volume is easy to fake. A bot can buy and sell the same coin back and forth between its own wallets, making the coin look busy and popular. Some services sell this as "volume boosting". High volume helps a coin rank on trending lists, which brings in real buyers.
None of this breaks any rule our grade checks. A coin can have zero red flags and most of its volume generated by bots.
What to watch: volume compared with the number of distinct buyers and sellers. Lots of volume from a small number of wallets, or trades of near-identical sizes at regular intervals, suggests bots. See how to read a DexScreener chart.
5. Holders split across fresh, unlinked wallets
Our concentration checks look at the largest single holder and the share held by the top 10. A group that spreads its holdings across 40 fresh wallets at 0.8% each can hold a third of the supply without any single wallet crossing our thresholds, and without any three bags matching closely enough to trip the bundle check.
What to watch: a holder list with lots of mid-sized wallets that are all new, hold nothing else and bought around the same time. That pattern is suspicious even when no tool joins them up.
6. The hype simply ends
Many memecoins are not rugged at all. They just run out of buyers. A coin can be completely honest, with fair distribution and burned liquidity, and still fall 90% because attention moved to the next coin. Memecoins have no earnings or product to fall back on, so once new buyers stop arriving, the price has nothing holding it up. See what is a memecoin.
What to watch: falling numbers of buys, shrinking volume and social accounts that have gone quiet.
7. The check was a snapshot in time
Our market data refreshes every 10 seconds. Our safety checks re-run every 10 minutes per coin while it is on the live board, and can take longer when RugCheck's rate limits are reached. A lot can change in 10 minutes. Holders can move tokens, new wallets can buy in, and a dump can start and finish between two checks.
A grade is a reading of the evidence at the time it was taken. It is not a promise about the next hour.
What to watch: how long ago the coin was last checked. Look at it again before you act, and keep looking while you hold it.
8. What on-chain data cannot see
Some of the biggest risks live entirely off-chain.
- Intentions. We can see what a creator could do, not what they plan to do.
- Private agreements. A group that agrees in a private chat to buy early and sell together leaves no trace that links them.
- Paid promotion. Influencer posts and Telegram "calls" are often paid for and timed with a planned sell. Some are labelled. Many are not.
- Fake claims. Partnerships, listings and team identities in a coin's description are not checked by anyone.
A clean coin, step by step
Here is how a coin can pass every check and still go to near zero:
- A group launches on pump.fun. Mint and freeze authority are revoked automatically.
- They buy across 30 wallets funded weeks earlier from different exchange accounts, each a different size.
- The coin graduates. Its LP tokens are burned.
- They buy a DexScreener profile and boosts, and pay a few accounts to post about it.
- Volume bots keep the coin on trending lists.
- Holder count passes 500, the coin is over 30 minutes old and no checks fire. It grades A.
- Over the next two hours, the 30 wallets sell in turns. The price falls 95%.
At no point was there a red flag that an automated check could see.
What you can do about it
- Treat every grade as a starting point. It removes some risks. It does not remove the main one, which is that people holding the coin can sell it.
- Size small. Only ever put in what you can afford to lose completely.
- Plan your exit before you enter. Decide in advance at what point you would sell. See taking profits and setting a stop loss on Jupiter.
- Recheck while you hold. Look at top holders and liquidity again after an hour.
- Look at what happened to others. Our survivors leaderboard lists new coins at least 24 hours old (with 3-day and 7-day cohorts) that are still standing: at least $5,000 traded in the last 24 hours, at least $5,000 of liquidity (or still on a launch curve), and not down 90% or more from the highest price we recorded. It only includes coins we first saw within 6 hours of launch and under $10 million market cap. Surviving isn't a recommendation.
Related
- What our A to F grades mean
- Insider wallets and why many holders can really be one
- What liquidity locks and burns do and don't protect
- How memecoin trading works