How accurate are our grades?

After a day, by the first grade we gave

Each grade only shows once 30 coins with it are a day old. Until then you can see how close it is.

After a week

The same coins, 7 days after launch. This takes a week longer to fill in.

Launchpad coins and pool coins, separately

A coin still on its launchpad (such as pump.fun) has no pool that can be emptied, so it can only collapse by price. That makes collapse much rarer for launchpad coins whatever their grade, so we show both groups apart.

How far prices fell in the first day

The middle coin's biggest fall from the highest price we recorded, within 24 hours of launch. Half the coins with that grade fell further.

Where our grades get it wrong

We publish the misses too. These are the numbers that should keep anyone from treating a grade as a forecast.

How this is counted

• First grade is the grade from our first full check of a coin, usually a few minutes after launch. Later grades don't change it.
• Still trading means at least $5,000 traded in the last 24 hours, at least $5,000 of liquidity (or still on its launchpad), and not down 90% or more from the highest price we recorded.
• Collapsed means down 90% or more from that high, or the liquidity pool was emptied. Went quiet is everything in between: still there, but barely traded.
• Each coin's status is recorded once, 24 to 30 hours after launch, and again 7 days after launch. If our server was down at that moment the coin is left out rather than guessed. 0 coins have been left out this way so far.
• Only new memecoins count: coins we first saw within 6 hours of launch and under $10 million market value. Tokenised stocks, wrapped tokens and stablecoins are left out.
• On 21 October 2026 we stopped counting RugCheck warnings that repeat our own checks (liquidity, mint, freeze, ownership). Grades given before that change were often harsher, so they are kept apart from the scorecard. This scorecard starts on 21 October 2026.
• A grade or group needs 30 coins with a reading before we show its result.

Updated every 30 minutes. Last updated 21 Oct, 23:14 UTC. Full rules on the methodology page. The raw numbers are at /api/scorecard.

Grades given under the earlier rules

On 21 October 2026 we stopped counting RugCheck warnings that repeat our own checks (liquidity, mint, freeze, ownership). Grades given before that change were often harsher, so they are kept apart from the scorecard. We graded 675 new coins under the earlier rules. They are shown here on their own, not mixed into the results above.