Rug replay
NI: the first 5 hours, minute by minute
Nut Inu on Solana, launched 25 October 2026 at 00:25 UK time. We recorded 5 hours of one-minute prices from 00:54. 4 warning signs lit up along the way, and 24 hours after launch it had collapsed.
- Spiking
- Cooling off
- Sliding
- Settling
- Quiet
- Warning sign
- Serious sign or the fall
- Other event
4 warning signs in this replay.
1x plays one minute of the coin's life every second. Keys: Space plays or pauses, J and L jump 10 minutes, and the arrow keys move the slider one minute.
Prices are our own one-minute records. Buys vs sells are counts of trades in the past 5 minutes, not dollars. Times are UK time. Where our live records had a gap, we used the coin's case file or DexScreener prices every 2 minutes; each event names its source.
Every event, with its time and source
- We first saw it on our live boardSource: lab.db event (first_seen), minute 0.
- Paid profile bought on DexScreener
DexScreener's own timestamp for the order.
Source: lab.db event (promo), minute 0. - Paid profile bought while up 6.2x in an hour
Paid profile bought 1 minute ago on DexScreener.
The price is up 522% over the last hour (6.2x).
Market value $19.4k, still on its launchpad bonding curve.
An hour later the price was 568% higher than when we logged this.
Our read: paid attention arriving after a 3x move gives the early holders a crowd to exit into.
Source: findings.db finding 09283b39cb42, minute 0. - Phase: Spiking
The price was at least 3x its lowest point of the past hour.
A paid boost, profile or ad was bought in the hour before.
Source: phase.db phase_log 17703, minute 0. - First check: grade B, no red flags foundSource: outcomes.db first_check, minute 0.
- Left the launchpad for a full trading poolSource: lab.db event (graduated), minute 35.
- Phase: Quiet
Under $2,000 was traded in the past hour.
A paid boost, profile or ad was bought in the hour before.
Source: phase.db phase_log 17964, minute 36. - Phase: Cooling off
The price was 20% or more below a high set in the past hour, after a run up.
A paid boost, profile or ad was bought in the hour before.
Source: phase.db phase_log 17975, minute 39. - Highest price in our minute bars, market value $149kSource: lab.db bar, computed, minute 63.
- Our grade changed from B to ASource: lab.db event (grade), 1 change, minute 66.
- Price fell below half its peak, 67% down
3 minutes after the peak.
Source: lab.db bar, computed, minute 66. - Liquidity fell 56% in 4 minutes, $31.2k to $13.6k
Liquidity went from $31.2k to $13.6k in 4 minutes.
The price moved -81% over the same time.
Market value is now $28.2k.
Source: findings.db finding 4f2a169659e0, minute 67. - Our grade changed 2 times in 6 minutes, ending at F
It moved between A, B and F as new checks came in, from 01:28 to 01:34.
Source: lab.db event (grade), 2 changes, minute 95. - Lost its clean grade: B to F
It was graded B for 1.7 hours before the drop to F.
What appeared: 3 wallets bought identical bags; Very thin liquidity.
Price from going clean to the drop: -69%.
Market value at the drop: $5.8k.
Source: findings.db finding d45c6a1b82e0, minute 102. - Phase: Sliding
Each 20-minute low of the past hour was lower than the one before.
Source: phase.db phase_log 18280, minute 116. - Phase: Cooling off
The price was 20% or more below a high set in the past hour, after a run up.
Source: phase.db phase_log 18324, minute 126. - Our grade changed from F to BSource: lab.db event (grade), 1 change, minute 131.
- Phase: Settling
No new low for 30 minutes, and the price range was narrowing.
Source: phase.db phase_log 18406, minute 138. - Phase: Quiet
Under $2,000 was traded in the past hour.
Source: phase.db phase_log 18533, minute 162. - Phase: Sliding
Each 20-minute low of the past hour was lower than the one before.
Source: phase.db phase_log 18590, minute 179. - 24 hours after launch: collapsed, 98% below the highest price we recorded
Collapsed: the price was under a tenth of its peak, or liquidity was under $1,000 outside the launchpad.
Source: outcomes.db outcomes.out24_status, after our minute bars end.
What the check showed before the fall
Our first check graded NI B at 00:54 UK time, 29 minutes after launch and found no red flags. A clean first check does not make a coin safe.
The price first fell below half its peak at 01:00, 3 minutes after its highest point in our records. Before that, 1 of the 4 warning signs in this replay had appeared:
- 00:54 Paid profile bought while up 6.2x in an hour
3 more signs appeared after the fall began.
24 hours after launch: collapsed, 98% below the highest price we recorded.