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Rug replay

Aape: the first 4 hours, minute by minute

Anonymous Ape on Solana, launched 22 October 2026 at 19:34 UK time. We recorded 4 hours of one-minute prices from 19:35. 6 warning signs lit up along the way, and 24 hours after launch it had collapsed.

  • Spiking
  • Cooling off
  • Sliding
  • Settling
  • Quiet
  • Warning sign
  • Serious sign or the fall
  • Other event
Minute 0 of 259
Latest warning signPress play to start the replay.

6 warning signs in this replay.

1x plays one minute of the coin's life every second. Keys: Space plays or pauses, J and L jump 10 minutes, and the arrow keys move the slider one minute.

Prices are our own one-minute records. Buys vs sells are counts of trades in the past 5 minutes, not dollars. Times are UK time. Where our live records had a gap, we used the coin's case file or DexScreener prices every 2 minutes; each event names its source.

Every event, with its time and source

  1. Left the launchpad for a full trading poolSource: lab.db event (graduated), minute 0.
  2. We first saw it on our live boardSource: lab.db event (first_seen), minute 0.
  3. Phase: Spiking

    The price was at least 3x its lowest point of the past hour.

    Source: phase.db phase_log 945, minute 1.
  4. Linked insider wallets hold 10% of supply

    RugCheck links 4 wallets in 1 group by shared funding.

    Together they hold 10% of supply, about $18k at the current price.

    Liquidity is $33.8k.

    Source: findings.db finding d9ba6681f5d7, minute 1.
  5. First check: grade F, 3 warning signs

    Linked insider wallets hold 10% of supply.

    One wallet holds 9% of supply.

    Top 10 wallets hold 67%.

    Source: outcomes.db first_check, minute 1.
  6. Phase: Cooling off

    The price was 20% or more below a high set in the past hour, after a run up.

    Source: phase.db phase_log 972, minute 7.
  7. Our grade changed from F to ESource: lab.db event (grade), 1 change, minute 11.
  8. Our grade changed from E to DSource: lab.db event (grade), 1 change, minute 21.
  9. Highest price in our minute bars, market value $255kSource: lab.db bar, computed, minute 30.
  10. Paid profile bought on DexScreener

    DexScreener's own timestamp for the order.

    Source: lab.db event (promo), minute 32.
  11. Paid profile bought while up 5.5x in an hour

    Paid profile bought 1 minute ago on DexScreener.

    The price is up 445% over the last hour (5.5x).

    Market value $237k, liquidity $41.2k.

    An hour later the price was 99% lower than when we logged this.

    Our read: paid attention arriving after a 3x move gives the early holders a crowd to exit into.

    Source: findings.db finding 683f8750a97c, minute 32.
  12. Price fell below half its peak, 54% down

    24 minutes after the peak.

    Source: lab.db bar, computed, minute 54.
  13. Linked insider wallets hold 33% of supply

    RugCheck links 52 wallets in 10 groups by shared funding.

    Together they hold 33% of supply, about $46.1k at the current price.

    The largest single group holds 10%.

    Liquidity is $32.4k.

    Our read: a linked share this size can move the price on its own if it leaves at once.

    Source: findings.db finding 70c30d0e35a7, minute 72.
  14. Our grade changed from D to ESource: lab.db event (grade), 1 change, minute 72.
  15. Phase: Cooling off

    The price was 20% or more below a high set in the past hour, after a run up.

    A paid boost, profile or ad was bought in the hour before.

    Source: phase.db phase_log 1301, minute 72.
  16. Phase: Sliding

    Each 20-minute low of the past hour was lower than the one before.

    A paid boost, profile or ad was bought in the hour before.

    Source: phase.db phase_log 1321, minute 76.
  17. Liquidity fell 89% in 6 minutes, $40.3k to $4.6k

    Liquidity went from $40.3k to $4.6k in 6 minutes.

    The price moved -99% over the same time.

    Market value is now $2.2k.

    Source: findings.db finding 049a3a0a3f27, minute 80.
  18. Phase: Quiet

    Under $2,000 was traded in the past hour.

    Source: phase.db phase_log 1622, minute 139.
  19. 24 hours after launch: collapsed, 99% below the highest price we recorded

    Collapsed: the price was under a tenth of its peak, or liquidity was under $1,000 outside the launchpad.

    Source: outcomes.db outcomes.out24_status, after our minute bars end.

What the check showed before the fall

Our first check graded Aape F at 19:35 UK time, 2 minutes after launch, with 3 warning signs:

Linked insider wallets hold 10% of supply4 wallets in 1 group were funded from the same sources. Spread across many small bags they look like ordinary holders, but they can sell together.
One wallet holds 9% of supplyA single large holder can move the price a lot.
Top 10 wallets hold 67%Supply is concentrated in very few hands.

The price first fell below half its peak at 20:29, 24 minutes after its highest point in our records. Before that, 3 of the 6 warning signs in this replay had appeared:

  • 19:35 Linked insider wallets hold 10% of supply
  • 19:35 First check: grade F, 3 warning signs
  • 20:06 Paid profile bought while up 5.5x in an hour

3 more signs appeared after the fall began.

24 hours after launch: collapsed, 99% below the highest price we recorded.

Not financial advice. Memecoins are extremely high risk and most go to zero. This replay shows public on-chain data and our own records at the times shown. It describes what wallets did, not anyone's intentions, and it is not a prediction for any other coin. Report a mistake