Pedos: the first 4 hours, minute by minute

Prices are our own one-minute records. Buys vs sells are counts of trades in the past 5 minutes, not dollars. Times are UK time. Where our live records had a gap, we used the coin's case file or DexScreener prices every 2 minutes; each event names its source.

Every event, with its time and source

1. 00:12
   We first saw it on our live boardSource: lab.db event (first_seen), minute 0.
2. 00:12
   Paid profile bought on DexScreener

   DexScreener's own timestamp for the order.

   Source: lab.db event (promo), minute 0.
3. 00:12
   First check: grade D, 2 warning signs

   3 wallets bought identical bags.

   Dev has launched tokens that rugged.

   Source: outcomes.db first_check, minute 0.
4. 00:12
   Phase: Spiking

   The price was at least 3x its lowest point of the past hour.

   A paid boost, profile or ad was bought in the hour before.

   Source: phase.db phase_log 45727, minute 0.
5. 00:12
   Paid profile bought while up 5.2x in an hour

   Paid profile bought 1 minute ago on DexScreener.

   The price is up 419% over the last hour (5.2x).

   Market value $18k, still on its launchpad bonding curve.

   An hour later the price was 232% higher than when we logged this.

   Our read: paid attention arriving after a 3x move gives the early holders a crowd to exit into.

   Source: findings.db finding 407fa08c0b8a, minute 0.
6. 00:42
   2 same-size wallets sold or moved about $2.1k in 10 minutes

   4 top wallets each held between 28.58M and 28.86M tokens (about 2.9% of supply each).

   2 of them sold or moved their whole bag between our checks 10 minutes apart, about $1.1k each at the current price.

   The other 2 still hold about $2.5k at the current price.

   Our read: same-size bags selling together is a common sign of one group exiting.

   Source: findings.db finding 0bde0a83b6c4, minute 30.
7. 00:42
   Our grade changed 2 times in 9 minutes, ending at F

   It moved between C, D and F as new checks came in, from 00:42 to 00:51.

   Source: lab.db event (grade), 2 changes, minute 30.
8. 00:50
   Left the launchpad for a full trading poolSource: lab.db event (graduated), minute 38.
9. 00:59
   Highest price in our minute bars, market value $129kSource: lab.db bar, computed, minute 47.
10. 01:01
    Price fell below half its peak, 57% down

    2 minutes after the peak.

    Source: lab.db bar, computed, minute 49.
11. 01:01
    Phase: Cooling off

    The price was 20% or more below a high set in the past hour, after a run up.

    A paid boost, profile or ad was bought in the hour before.

    Source: phase.db phase_log 45943, minute 49.
12. 01:07
    Paid boost bought on DexScreener

    DexScreener's own timestamp for the order.

    Source: lab.db event (promo), minute 56.
13. 01:20
    Liquidity fell 60% in 2 minutes, $22.7k to $9k

    Liquidity went from $22.7k to $9k in 2 minutes.

    The price moved -78% over the same time.

    Market value is now $15.4k.

    Source: findings.db finding 273c6b6b0acd, minute 68.
14. 01:55
    Phase: Sliding

    Each 20-minute low of the past hour was lower than the one before.

    A paid boost, profile or ad was bought in the hour before.

    Source: phase.db phase_log 46183, minute 103.
15. 02:20
    Phase: Cooling off

    The price was 20% or more below a high set in the past hour, after a run up.

    Source: phase.db phase_log 46259, minute 128.
16. 02:30
    Phase: Quiet

    Under $2,000 was traded in the past hour.

    Source: phase.db phase_log 46314, minute 139.
17. 30 Oct 00:26
    24 hours after launch: collapsed, 98% below the highest price we recorded

    Collapsed: the price was under a tenth of its peak, or liquidity was under $1,000 outside the launchpad.

    Source: outcomes.db outcomes.out24_status, after our minute bars end.

What the check showed before the fall