Rug replay
Lowo: the first 3 hours, minute by minute
Leonine Dao on Solana, launched 29 October 2026 at 02:53 UK time. We recorded 3 hours of one-minute prices from 03:05. 5 warning signs lit up along the way, and 24 hours after launch it had collapsed.
- Spiking
- Cooling off
- Sliding
- Settling
- Quiet
- Warning sign
- Serious sign or the fall
- Other event
5 warning signs in this replay.
1x plays one minute of the coin's life every second. Keys: Space plays or pauses, J and L jump 10 minutes, and the arrow keys move the slider one minute.
Prices are our own one-minute records. Buys vs sells are counts of trades in the past 5 minutes, not dollars. Times are UK time. Where our live records had a gap, we used the coin's case file or DexScreener prices every 2 minutes; each event names its source.
Every event, with its time and source
- We first saw it on our live boardSource: lab.db event (first_seen), minute 0.
- Paid profile bought on DexScreener
DexScreener's own timestamp for the order.
Source: lab.db event (promo), minute 0. - First check: grade E, 2 warning signs
Already trading on an open pool, in its first hours.
5 wallets bought identical bags.
Source: outcomes.db first_check, minute 0. - Phase: Cooling off
The price was 20% or more below a high set in the past hour, after a run up.
A paid boost, profile or ad was bought in the hour before.
Source: phase.db phase_log 46498, minute 4. - Paid profile bought while up 3.2x in an hour
Paid profile bought 11 minutes ago on DexScreener.
The price is up 216% over the last hour (3.2x).
Market value $131k, liquidity $28.9k.
An hour later the price was 93% lower than when we logged this.
Our read: paid attention arriving after a 3x move gives the early holders a crowd to exit into.
Source: findings.db finding 7012077ecb53, minute 11. - Phase: Spiking
The price was at least 3x its lowest point of the past hour.
A paid boost, profile or ad was bought in the hour before.
Source: phase.db phase_log 46542, minute 11. - Highest price in our minute bars, market value $126kSource: lab.db bar, computed, minute 11.
- Price fell below half its peak, 86% down
3 minutes after the peak.
Source: lab.db bar, computed, minute 14. - Liquidity fell 64% in 4 minutes, $28.9k to $10.5k
Liquidity went from $28.9k to $10.5k in 4 minutes.
The price moved -87% over the same time.
Market value is now $17.4k.
Source: findings.db finding 4a93f7c77be0, minute 14. - Liquidity fell 80% in 10 minutes, $27.2k to $5.4k
Liquidity went from $27.2k to $5.4k in 10 minutes.
The price moved -94% over the same time.
Market value is now $7.1k.
Source: findings.db finding 4e5307e0f294, minute 23. - Phase: Sliding
Each 20-minute low of the past hour was lower than the one before.
A paid boost, profile or ad was bought in the hour before.
Source: phase.db phase_log 46711, minute 46. - Phase: Settling
No new low for 30 minutes, and the price range was narrowing.
A paid boost, profile or ad was bought in the hour before.
Source: phase.db phase_log 46792, minute 60. - Our grade changed 2 times in 1 minute, ending at E
It moved between E and F as new checks came in, from 04:17 to 04:18.
Source: lab.db event (grade), 2 changes, minute 72. - Our grade changed from E to FSource: lab.db event (grade), 1 change, minute 100.
- Our grade changed from F to ESource: lab.db event (grade), 1 change, minute 113.
- Our grade changed 2 times in 9 minutes, ending at E
It moved between E and F as new checks came in, from 05:16 to 05:25.
Source: lab.db event (grade), 2 changes, minute 132. - Phase: Settling
No new low for 30 minutes, and the price range was narrowing.
Source: phase.db phase_log 47099, minute 133. - Phase: Quiet
Under $2,000 was traded in the past hour.
Source: phase.db phase_log 47231, minute 163. - Our grade changed 2 times in 1 minute, ending at E
It moved between E and F as new checks came in, from 06:08 to 06:09.
Source: lab.db event (grade), 2 changes, minute 183. - 24 hours after launch: collapsed, 98% below the highest price we recorded
Collapsed: the price was under a tenth of its peak, or liquidity was under $1,000 outside the launchpad.
Source: outcomes.db outcomes.out24_status, after our minute bars end.
What the check showed before the fall
Our first check graded Lowo E at 03:05 UK time, 12 minutes after launch, with 2 warning signs:
The price first fell below half its peak at 03:19, 3 minutes after its highest point in our records. Before that, 2 of the 5 warning signs in this replay had appeared:
- 03:05 First check: grade E, 2 warning signs
- 03:15 Paid profile bought while up 3.2x in an hour
3 more signs appeared after the fall began.
24 hours after launch: collapsed, 98% below the highest price we recorded.