Rug replay
jeff: the first 7 hours, minute by minute
on Solana, launched 28 October 2026 at 00:58 UK time. We recorded 7 hours of one-minute prices from 01:11. 4 warning signs lit up along the way, and 24 hours after launch it was still trading.
- Spiking
- Cooling off
- Sliding
- Settling
- Quiet
- Warning sign
- Serious sign or the fall
- Other event
4 warning signs in this replay.
1x plays one minute of the coin's life every second. Keys: Space plays or pauses, J and L jump 10 minutes, and the arrow keys move the slider one minute.
Prices are our own one-minute records. Buys vs sells are counts of trades in the past 5 minutes, not dollars. Times are UK time. Where our live records had a gap, we used the coin's case file or DexScreener prices every 2 minutes; each event names its source.
Every event, with its time and source
- We first saw it on our live boardSource: lab.db event (first_seen), minute 0.
- Paid profile bought on DexScreener
DexScreener's own timestamp for the order.
Source: lab.db event (promo), minute 0. - First check: grade F, 4 warning signs
Already trading on an open pool, in its first hours.
Dev has launched tokens that rugged.
One wallet holds 50% of supply.
Top 10 wallets hold 75%.
Source: outcomes.db first_check, minute 0. - Paid profile bought while up 9.8x in an hour
Paid profile bought 1 minute ago on DexScreener.
The price is up 878% over the last hour (9.8x).
Market value $22k, liquidity $6.4k.
An hour later the price was 1473% higher than when we logged this.
Our read: paid attention arriving after a 3x move gives the early holders a crowd to exit into.
Source: findings.db finding 0dddf071d633, minute 0. - Phase: Spiking
The price was at least 3x its lowest point of the past hour.
A paid boost, profile or ad was bought in the hour before.
Source: phase.db phase_log 39034, minute 0. - Dev wallet's share fell from 1.4% to 0.0%
Between our checks 10 minutes apart, the creator wallet's share went from 1.4% to 0.0% of supply.
That is about $360 of tokens at the current price.
Liquidity is $6.9k.
Source: findings.db finding 1a338ac5a679, minute 10. - Phase: Cooling off
The price was 20% or more below a high set in the past hour, after a run up.
A paid boost, profile or ad was bought in the hour before.
Source: phase.db phase_log 39124, minute 23. - Liquidity fell 62% in 7 minutes, $10.6k to $4.1k
Liquidity went from $10.6k to $4.1k in 7 minutes.
The price moved -86% over the same time.
Market value is now $8.6k.
Source: findings.db finding 235bf15c93ac, minute 25. - Phase: Cooling off
The price was 20% or more below a high set in the past hour, after a run up.
Source: phase.db phase_log 39384, minute 87. - Phase: Settling
No new low for 30 minutes, and the price range was narrowing.
Source: phase.db phase_log 39436, minute 100. - Phase: Spiking
The price was at least 3x its lowest point of the past hour.
Source: phase.db phase_log 39579, minute 133. - Phase: Cooling off
The price was 20% or more below a high set in the past hour, after a run up.
Source: phase.db phase_log 39690, minute 161. - Our grade changed from F to ESource: lab.db event (grade), 1 change, minute 172.
- Highest price in our minute bars, market value $2MSource: lab.db bar, computed, minute 180.
- Phase: Spiking
The price was at least 3x its lowest point of the past hour.
Source: phase.db phase_log 39853, minute 197. - Phase: Cooling off
The price was 20% or more below a high set in the past hour, after a run up.
Source: phase.db phase_log 39955, minute 221. - Price fell below half its peak, 56% down
53 minutes after the peak.
Source: lab.db bar, computed, minute 233. - Phase: Sliding
Each 20-minute low of the past hour was lower than the one before.
Source: phase.db phase_log 40013, minute 234. - Phase: Settling
No new low for 30 minutes, and the price range was narrowing.
Source: phase.db phase_log 40354, minute 312. - Phase: Cooling off
The price was 20% or more below a high set in the past hour, after a run up.
Source: phase.db phase_log 40498, minute 342. - Our grade changed from E to BSource: lab.db event (grade), 1 change, minute 348.
- Phase: Sliding
Each 20-minute low of the past hour was lower than the one before.
Source: phase.db phase_log 40564, minute 358. - 24 hours after launch: still trading, 24% below the highest price we recorded
Still trading: at least $5,000 traded in the past day, with $5,000 or more of liquidity or still on the launchpad.
Source: outcomes.db outcomes.out24_status, after our minute bars end.
What the check showed before the fall
Our first check graded jeff F at 01:11 UK time, 12 minutes after launch, with 4 warning signs:
The price first fell below half its peak at 05:04, 53 minutes after its highest point in our records. Before that, 4 of the 4 warning signs in this replay had appeared:
- 01:11 First check: grade F, 4 warning signs
- 01:11 Paid profile bought while up 9.8x in an hour
- 01:21 Dev wallet's share fell from 1.4% to 0.0%
- 01:36 Liquidity fell 62% in 7 minutes, $10.6k to $4.1k
24 hours after launch: still trading, 24% below the highest price we recorded. It is here as a counter-example.
Our read: warning signs raise the risk, they do not set a date. This coin carried them and was still trading a day later.