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jeff: the first 7 hours, minute by minute

on Solana, launched 28 October 2026 at 00:58 UK time. We recorded 7 hours of one-minute prices from 01:11. 4 warning signs lit up along the way, and 24 hours after launch it was still trading.

  • Spiking
  • Cooling off
  • Sliding
  • Settling
  • Quiet
  • Warning sign
  • Serious sign or the fall
  • Other event
Minute 0 of 413
Latest warning signPress play to start the replay.

4 warning signs in this replay.

1x plays one minute of the coin's life every second. Keys: Space plays or pauses, J and L jump 10 minutes, and the arrow keys move the slider one minute.

Prices are our own one-minute records. Buys vs sells are counts of trades in the past 5 minutes, not dollars. Times are UK time. Where our live records had a gap, we used the coin's case file or DexScreener prices every 2 minutes; each event names its source.

Every event, with its time and source

  1. We first saw it on our live boardSource: lab.db event (first_seen), minute 0.
  2. Paid profile bought on DexScreener

    DexScreener's own timestamp for the order.

    Source: lab.db event (promo), minute 0.
  3. First check: grade F, 4 warning signs

    Already trading on an open pool, in its first hours.

    Dev has launched tokens that rugged.

    One wallet holds 50% of supply.

    Top 10 wallets hold 75%.

    Source: outcomes.db first_check, minute 0.
  4. Paid profile bought while up 9.8x in an hour

    Paid profile bought 1 minute ago on DexScreener.

    The price is up 878% over the last hour (9.8x).

    Market value $22k, liquidity $6.4k.

    An hour later the price was 1473% higher than when we logged this.

    Our read: paid attention arriving after a 3x move gives the early holders a crowd to exit into.

    Source: findings.db finding 0dddf071d633, minute 0.
  5. Phase: Spiking

    The price was at least 3x its lowest point of the past hour.

    A paid boost, profile or ad was bought in the hour before.

    Source: phase.db phase_log 39034, minute 0.
  6. Dev wallet's share fell from 1.4% to 0.0%

    Between our checks 10 minutes apart, the creator wallet's share went from 1.4% to 0.0% of supply.

    That is about $360 of tokens at the current price.

    Liquidity is $6.9k.

    Source: findings.db finding 1a338ac5a679, minute 10.
  7. Phase: Cooling off

    The price was 20% or more below a high set in the past hour, after a run up.

    A paid boost, profile or ad was bought in the hour before.

    Source: phase.db phase_log 39124, minute 23.
  8. Liquidity fell 62% in 7 minutes, $10.6k to $4.1k

    Liquidity went from $10.6k to $4.1k in 7 minutes.

    The price moved -86% over the same time.

    Market value is now $8.6k.

    Source: findings.db finding 235bf15c93ac, minute 25.
  9. Phase: Cooling off

    The price was 20% or more below a high set in the past hour, after a run up.

    Source: phase.db phase_log 39384, minute 87.
  10. Phase: Settling

    No new low for 30 minutes, and the price range was narrowing.

    Source: phase.db phase_log 39436, minute 100.
  11. Phase: Spiking

    The price was at least 3x its lowest point of the past hour.

    Source: phase.db phase_log 39579, minute 133.
  12. Phase: Cooling off

    The price was 20% or more below a high set in the past hour, after a run up.

    Source: phase.db phase_log 39690, minute 161.
  13. Our grade changed from F to ESource: lab.db event (grade), 1 change, minute 172.
  14. Highest price in our minute bars, market value $2MSource: lab.db bar, computed, minute 180.
  15. Phase: Spiking

    The price was at least 3x its lowest point of the past hour.

    Source: phase.db phase_log 39853, minute 197.
  16. Phase: Cooling off

    The price was 20% or more below a high set in the past hour, after a run up.

    Source: phase.db phase_log 39955, minute 221.
  17. Price fell below half its peak, 56% down

    53 minutes after the peak.

    Source: lab.db bar, computed, minute 233.
  18. Phase: Sliding

    Each 20-minute low of the past hour was lower than the one before.

    Source: phase.db phase_log 40013, minute 234.
  19. Phase: Settling

    No new low for 30 minutes, and the price range was narrowing.

    Source: phase.db phase_log 40354, minute 312.
  20. Phase: Cooling off

    The price was 20% or more below a high set in the past hour, after a run up.

    Source: phase.db phase_log 40498, minute 342.
  21. Our grade changed from E to BSource: lab.db event (grade), 1 change, minute 348.
  22. Phase: Sliding

    Each 20-minute low of the past hour was lower than the one before.

    Source: phase.db phase_log 40564, minute 358.
  23. 24 hours after launch: still trading, 24% below the highest price we recorded

    Still trading: at least $5,000 traded in the past day, with $5,000 or more of liquidity or still on the launchpad.

    Source: outcomes.db outcomes.out24_status, after our minute bars end.

What the check showed before the fall

Our first check graded jeff F at 01:11 UK time, 12 minutes after launch, with 4 warning signs:

Already trading on an open pool, in its first hoursOf the 2,163 coins we first checked after they reached an open pool, 90% collapsed within a day, against 13% of the 5,470 coins still on a launchpad curve, whatever else we found. That risk counts towards this grade.
Dev has launched tokens that ruggedThe creator wallet has a history of failed or rugged launches.
One wallet holds 50% of supplyA single seller this size can crash the price on their own.
Top 10 wallets hold 75%Supply is concentrated in very few hands.

The price first fell below half its peak at 05:04, 53 minutes after its highest point in our records. Before that, 4 of the 4 warning signs in this replay had appeared:

  • 01:11 First check: grade F, 4 warning signs
  • 01:11 Paid profile bought while up 9.8x in an hour
  • 01:21 Dev wallet's share fell from 1.4% to 0.0%
  • 01:36 Liquidity fell 62% in 7 minutes, $10.6k to $4.1k

24 hours after launch: still trading, 24% below the highest price we recorded. It is here as a counter-example.

Our read: warning signs raise the risk, they do not set a date. This coin carried them and was still trading a day later.

Not financial advice. Memecoins are extremely high risk and most go to zero. This replay shows public on-chain data and our own records at the times shown. It describes what wallets did, not anyone's intentions, and it is not a prediction for any other coin. Report a mistake