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Rug replay

Movember: the first 3 hours, minute by minute

on Solana, launched 1 November 2026 at 04:19 UK time. We recorded 3 hours of one-minute prices from 04:20. 4 warning signs lit up along the way, and 24 hours after launch it had collapsed.

  • Spiking
  • Cooling off
  • Sliding
  • Settling
  • Quiet
  • Warning sign
  • Serious sign or the fall
  • Other event
Minute 0 of 197
Latest warning signPress play to start the replay.

4 warning signs in this replay.

1x plays one minute of the coin's life every second. Keys: Space plays or pauses, J and L jump 10 minutes, and the arrow keys move the slider one minute.

Prices are our own one-minute records. Buys vs sells are counts of trades in the past 5 minutes, not dollars. Times are UK time. Where our live records had a gap, we used the coin's case file or DexScreener prices every 2 minutes; each event names its source.

Every event, with its time and source

  1. Left the launchpad for a full trading poolSource: lab.db event (graduated), minute 0.
  2. We first saw it on our live boardSource: lab.db event (first_seen), minute 0.
  3. Paid profile bought on DexScreener

    DexScreener's own timestamp for the order.

    Source: lab.db event (promo), minute 0.
  4. First check: grade E, 2 warning signs

    Already trading on an open pool, in its first hours.

    4 wallets bought identical bags.

    Source: outcomes.db first_check, minute 0.
  5. Paid profile bought on DexScreener

    DexScreener's own timestamp for the order.

    Source: lab.db event (promo), minute 3.
  6. Profile refreshed bought on DexScreener

    DexScreener's own timestamp for the order.

    Source: lab.db event (promo), minute 3.
  7. Highest price in our minute bars, market value $61.9kSource: lab.db bar, computed, minute 4.
  8. Phase: Cooling off

    The price was 20% or more below a high set in the past hour, after a run up.

    A paid boost, profile or ad was bought in the hour before.

    Source: phase.db phase_log 67720, minute 7.
  9. Price fell below half its peak, 80% down

    3 minutes after the peak.

    Source: lab.db bar, computed, minute 7.
  10. Liquidity fell 57% in 2 minutes, $18.9k to $8.1k

    Liquidity went from $18.9k to $8.1k in 2 minutes.

    The price moved -80% over the same time.

    Market value is now $12.5k.

    This is a copycat: an older coin called Movember came first.

    Source: findings.db finding 606cfb5410e4, minute 7.
  11. Linked insider wallets hold 10% of supply

    RugCheck links 8 wallets in 2 groups by shared funding.

    Together they hold 10% of supply, about $1.9k at the current price.

    The largest single group holds 6.6%.

    Liquidity is $10.2k.

    This is a copycat: an older coin called Movember came first.

    Source: findings.db finding b5530d07d109, minute 10.
  12. Our grade changed 6 times in 8 minutes, ending at F

    It moved between E and F as new checks came in, from 04:32 to 04:40.

    Source: lab.db event (grade), 6 changes, minute 12.
  13. Linked insider wallets hold 25% of supply

    RugCheck links 13 wallets in 3 groups by shared funding.

    Together they hold 25% of supply, about $2.3k at the current price.

    The largest single group holds 13%.

    Liquidity is $6.2k.

    Our read: a linked share this size can move the price on its own if it leaves at once.

    Source: findings.db finding c90182f38f21, minute 20.
  14. Phase: Sliding

    Each 20-minute low of the past hour was lower than the one before.

    A paid boost, profile or ad was bought in the hour before.

    Source: phase.db phase_log 67904, minute 45.
  15. Phase: Settling

    No new low for 30 minutes, and the price range was narrowing.

    Source: phase.db phase_log 68012, minute 64.
  16. Phase: Cooling off

    The price was 20% or more below a high set in the past hour, after a run up.

    Source: phase.db phase_log 68032, minute 69.
  17. Phase: Quiet

    Under $2,000 was traded in the past hour.

    Source: phase.db phase_log 68110, minute 88.
  18. 24 hours after launch: collapsed, 96% below the highest price we recorded

    Collapsed: the price was under a tenth of its peak, or liquidity was under $1,000 outside the launchpad.

    Source: outcomes.db outcomes.out24_status, after our minute bars end.

What the check showed before the fall

Our first check graded Movember E at 04:19 UK time, 1 minute after launch, with 2 warning signs:

Already trading on an open pool, in its first hoursOf the 3,604 coins we first checked after they reached an open pool, 90% collapsed within a day, against 15% of the 9,113 coins still on a launchpad curve, whatever else we found. That risk counts towards this grade.
4 wallets bought identical bagsSame-size bags in several top wallets usually means one team bought at launch across many wallets (a bundle).

The price first fell below half its peak at 04:27, 3 minutes after its highest point in our records. Before that, 1 of the 4 warning signs in this replay had appeared:

  • 04:19 First check: grade E, 2 warning signs

3 more signs appeared after the fall began.

24 hours after launch: collapsed, 96% below the highest price we recorded.

Not financial advice. Memecoins are extremely high risk and most go to zero. This replay shows public on-chain data and our own records at the times shown. It describes what wallets did, not anyone's intentions, and it is not a prediction for any other coin. Report a mistake