Rug replay
Fine: the first 4 hours, minute by minute
This is Fine on Solana, launched 29 October 2026 at 21:08 UK time. We recorded 4 hours of one-minute prices from 21:10. 6 warning signs lit up along the way, and 24 hours after launch it was still trading.
- Spiking
- Cooling off
- Sliding
- Settling
- Quiet
- Warning sign
- Serious sign or the fall
- Other event
6 warning signs in this replay.
1x plays one minute of the coin's life every second. Keys: Space plays or pauses, J and L jump 10 minutes, and the arrow keys move the slider one minute.
Prices are our own one-minute records. Buys vs sells are counts of trades in the past 5 minutes, not dollars. Times are UK time. Where our live records had a gap, we used the coin's case file or DexScreener prices every 2 minutes; each event names its source.
Every event, with its time and source
- Highest price in our minute bars, market value $44.3kSource: lab.db bar, computed, minute 0.
- We first saw it on our live boardSource: lab.db event (first_seen), minute 0.
- First check: grade E, 2 warning signs
Already trading on an open pool, in its first hours.
3 wallets bought identical bags.
Source: outcomes.db first_check, minute 0. - Price fell below half its peak, 52% down
3 minutes after the peak.
Source: lab.db bar, computed, minute 3. - Liquidity fell 56% in 6 minutes, $19.1k to $8.3k
Liquidity went from $19.1k to $8.3k in 6 minutes.
The price moved -77% over the same time.
Market value is now $10.2k.
Source: findings.db finding 14fe341e2990, minute 7. - Linked insider wallets hold 16% of supply
RugCheck links 18 wallets in 3 groups by shared funding.
Together they hold 16% of supply, about $561 at the current price.
The largest single group holds 10%.
Liquidity is $3.5k.
Source: findings.db finding 1cf956a06d57, minute 30. - Our grade changed from E to FSource: lab.db event (grade), 1 change, minute 30.
- Phase: Sliding
Each 20-minute low of the past hour was lower than the one before.
Source: phase.db phase_log 51869, minute 45. - Phase: Quiet
Under $2,000 was traded in the past hour.
Source: phase.db phase_log 51963, minute 70. - Our grade changed 2 times in 2 minutes, ending at F
It moved between E and F as new checks came in, from 22:24 to 22:26.
Source: lab.db event (grade), 2 changes, minute 74. - Our grade changed 2 times in 7 minutes, ending at F
It moved between E and F as new checks came in, from 22:43 to 22:50.
Source: lab.db event (grade), 2 changes, minute 94. - Phase: Settling
No new low for 30 minutes, and the price range was narrowing.
Source: phase.db phase_log 52079, minute 98. - Phase: Spiking
The price was at least 3x its lowest point of the past hour.
Source: phase.db phase_log 52092, minute 101. - Phase: Cooling off
The price was 20% or more below a high set in the past hour, after a run up.
Source: phase.db phase_log 52107, minute 106. - 2 same-size wallets sold or moved about $226 in 10 minutes
3 top wallets each held between 23.20M and 23.56M tokens (about 2.5% of supply each).
2 of them sold or moved all or most of their bag between our checks 10 minutes apart, about $113 each at the current price.
The other 1 still hold about $121, against $4.7k of liquidity.
Our read: same-size bags selling together is a common sign of one group exiting.
Source: findings.db finding a7e812043631, minute 131. - Linked insider wallets hold 32% of supply
RugCheck links 23 wallets in 4 groups by shared funding.
Together they hold 32% of supply, about $1.5k at the current price.
The largest single group holds 16%.
Liquidity is $4.8k.
Our read: a linked share this size can move the price on its own if it leaves at once.
Source: findings.db finding 0901f41b429a, minute 141. - Phase: Settling
No new low for 30 minutes, and the price range was narrowing.
Source: phase.db phase_log 52358, minute 159. - Phase: Quiet
Under $2,000 was traded in the past hour.
Source: phase.db phase_log 52648, minute 220. - 24 hours after launch: still trading, 87% below the highest price we recorded
Still trading: at least $5,000 traded in the past day, with $5,000 or more of liquidity or still on the launchpad.
Source: outcomes.db outcomes.out24_status, after our minute bars end.
What the check showed before the fall
Our first check graded Fine E at 21:10 UK time, 2 minutes after launch, with 2 warning signs:
The price first fell below half its peak at 21:13, 3 minutes after its highest point in our records. Before that, 1 of the 6 warning signs in this replay had appeared:
- 21:10 First check: grade E, 2 warning signs
5 more signs appeared after the fall began.
24 hours after launch: still trading, 87% below the highest price we recorded. It is here as a counter-example.
Our read: warning signs raise the risk, they do not set a date. This coin carried them and was still trading a day later.