Rug replay
LIBER: the first 4 hours, minute by minute
Liber Veritatis on Solana, launched 31 October 2026 at 14:53 UK time. We recorded 4 hours of one-minute prices from 14:56. 6 warning signs lit up along the way, and 24 hours after launch it had collapsed.
- Spiking
- Cooling off
- Sliding
- Settling
- Quiet
- Warning sign
- Serious sign or the fall
- Other event
6 warning signs in this replay.
1x plays one minute of the coin's life every second. Keys: Space plays or pauses, J and L jump 10 minutes, and the arrow keys move the slider one minute.
Prices are our own one-minute records. Buys vs sells are counts of trades in the past 5 minutes, not dollars. Times are UK time. Where our live records had a gap, we used the coin's case file or DexScreener prices every 2 minutes; each event names its source.
Every event, with its time and source
- We first saw it on our live boardSource: lab.db event (first_seen), minute 1.
- Paid profile bought on DexScreener
DexScreener's own timestamp for the order.
Source: lab.db event (promo), minute 1. - Paid profile bought while up 4.0x in an hour
Paid profile bought 1 minute ago on DexScreener.
The price is up 305% over the last hour (4.0x).
Market value $13.2k, still on its launchpad bonding curve.
An hour later the price was 147% higher than when we logged this.
Our read: paid attention arriving after a 3x move gives the early holders a crowd to exit into.
Source: findings.db finding adaef7e57392, minute 1. - Phase: Spiking
The price was at least 3x its lowest point of the past hour.
A paid boost, profile or ad was bought in the hour before.
Source: phase.db phase_log 63879, minute 1. - First check: grade C, 1 warning sign
4 wallets bought identical bags.
Source: outcomes.db first_check, minute 40. - Phase: Cooling off
The price was 20% or more below a high set in the past hour, after a run up.
A paid boost, profile or ad was bought in the hour before.
Source: phase.db phase_log 64174, minute 57. - Phase: Settling
No new low for 30 minutes, and the price range was narrowing.
Source: phase.db phase_log 64273, minute 74. - Left the launchpad for a full trading poolSource: lab.db event (graduated), minute 95.
- Our grade changed from C to ESource: lab.db event (grade), 1 change, minute 96.
- Phase: Cooling off
The price was 20% or more below a high set in the past hour, after a run up.
Source: phase.db phase_log 64526, minute 130. - Highest price in our minute bars, market value $60.3kSource: lab.db bar, computed, minute 141.
- Price fell below half its peak, 91% down
2 minutes after the peak.
Source: lab.db bar, computed, minute 143. - Liquidity fell 76% in 3 minutes, $19.3k to $4.6k
Liquidity went from $19.3k to $4.6k in 3 minutes.
The price moved -91% over the same time.
Market value is now $5.5k.
Source: findings.db finding 54806959fc29, minute 144. - Our grade changed 4 times in 2 minutes, ending at E
It moved between E and F as new checks came in, from 17:19 to 17:21.
Source: lab.db event (grade), 4 changes, minute 144. - Liquidity fell 80% in 4 minutes, $19.3k to $3.9k
Liquidity went from $19.3k to $3.9k in 4 minutes.
The price moved -93% over the same time.
Market value is now $4.2k.
Source: findings.db finding ca68f7f59916, minute 145. - 3 same-size wallets sold or moved about $154 in 10 minutes
3 top wallets each held 11.81M tokens (about 1.2% of supply each).
3 of them sold or moved their whole bag between our checks 10 minutes apart, about $51 each at the current price.
Our read: same-size bags selling together is a common sign of one group exiting.
Source: findings.db finding eff170505055, minute 145. - Phase: Sliding
Each 20-minute low of the past hour was lower than the one before.
Source: phase.db phase_log 64738, minute 169. - 24 hours after launch: collapsed, 96% below the highest price we recorded
Collapsed: the price was under a tenth of its peak, or liquidity was under $1,000 outside the launchpad.
Source: outcomes.db outcomes.out24_status, after our minute bars end.
What the check showed before the fall
Our first check graded LIBER C at 15:35 UK time, 43 minutes after launch, with 1 warning sign:
The price first fell below half its peak at 17:19, 2 minutes after its highest point in our records. Before that, 3 of the 6 warning signs in this replay had appeared:
- 14:56 Paid profile bought while up 4.0x in an hour
- 15:35 First check: grade C, 1 warning sign
- 16:32 Our grade changed from C to E
3 more signs appeared after the fall began.
24 hours after launch: collapsed, 96% below the highest price we recorded.