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Rug replay

TraderTraitor: the first 3 hours, minute by minute

on Solana, launched 30 October 2026 at 04:48 UK time. We recorded 3 hours of one-minute prices from 05:04. 5 warning signs lit up along the way, and 24 hours after launch it had collapsed.

  • Spiking
  • Cooling off
  • Sliding
  • Settling
  • Quiet
  • Warning sign
  • Serious sign or the fall
  • Other event
Minute 0 of 192
Latest warning signPress play to start the replay.

5 warning signs in this replay.

1x plays one minute of the coin's life every second. Keys: Space plays or pauses, J and L jump 10 minutes, and the arrow keys move the slider one minute.

Prices are our own one-minute records. Buys vs sells are counts of trades in the past 5 minutes, not dollars. Times are UK time. Where our live records had a gap, we used the coin's case file or DexScreener prices every 2 minutes; each event names its source.

Every event, with its time and source

  1. We first saw it on our live boardSource: lab.db event (first_seen), minute 0.
  2. Paid profile bought on DexScreener

    DexScreener's own timestamp for the order.

    Source: lab.db event (promo), minute 0.
  3. Phase: Spiking

    The price was at least 3x its lowest point of the past hour.

    A paid boost, profile or ad was bought in the hour before.

    Source: phase.db phase_log 53804, minute 0.
  4. Paid profile bought while up 3.3x in an hour

    Paid profile bought 1 minute ago on DexScreener.

    The price is up 227% over the last hour (3.3x).

    Market value $134k, liquidity $30.7k.

    An hour later the price was 99% lower than when we logged this.

    Our read: paid attention arriving after a 3x move gives the early holders a crowd to exit into.

    Source: findings.db finding 9096279dde74, minute 0.
  5. First check: grade E, 1 warning sign

    Already trading on an open pool, in its first hours.

    Source: outcomes.db first_check, minute 0.
  6. Highest price in our minute bars, market value $144kSource: lab.db bar, computed, minute 1.
  7. Phase: Cooling off

    The price was 20% or more below a high set in the past hour, after a run up.

    A paid boost, profile or ad was bought in the hour before.

    Source: phase.db phase_log 53827, minute 5.
  8. Linked insider wallets hold 29% of supply

    RugCheck links 49 wallets in 10 groups by shared funding.

    Together they hold 29% of supply, about $29.1k at the current price.

    The largest single group holds 8.6%.

    Liquidity is $25.4k.

    Our read: a linked share this size can move the price on its own if it leaves at once.

    Source: findings.db finding a9a3828d0085, minute 10.
  9. Price fell below half its peak, 99% down

    15 minutes after the peak.

    Source: lab.db bar, computed, minute 16.
  10. Liquidity fell 89% in 3 minutes, $31.7k to $3.4k

    Liquidity went from $31.7k to $3.4k in 3 minutes.

    The price moved -98% over the same time.

    Market value is now $2.6k.

    Source: findings.db finding 5043d6699e1c, minute 16.
  11. Our grade changed from E to FSource: lab.db event (grade), 1 change, minute 16.
  12. Phase: Settling

    No new low for 30 minutes, and the price range was narrowing.

    Source: phase.db phase_log 54138, minute 72.
  13. Phase: Quiet

    Under $2,000 was traded in the past hour.

    Source: phase.db phase_log 54148, minute 76.
  14. 24 hours after launch: collapsed, 99% below the highest price we recorded

    Collapsed: the price was under a tenth of its peak, or liquidity was under $1,000 outside the launchpad.

    Source: outcomes.db outcomes.out24_status, after our minute bars end.

What the check showed before the fall

Our first check graded TraderTraitor E at 05:04 UK time, 16 minutes after launch, with 1 warning sign:

Already trading on an open pool, in its first hoursOf the 2,925 coins we first checked after they reached an open pool, 90% collapsed within a day, against 14% of the 7,424 coins still on a launchpad curve, whatever else we found. That risk counts towards this grade.

The price first fell below half its peak at 05:20, 15 minutes after its highest point in our records. Before that, 3 of the 5 warning signs in this replay had appeared:

  • 05:04 Paid profile bought while up 3.3x in an hour
  • 05:04 First check: grade E, 1 warning sign
  • 05:14 Linked insider wallets hold 29% of supply

2 more signs appeared after the fall began.

24 hours after launch: collapsed, 99% below the highest price we recorded.

Not financial advice. Memecoins are extremely high risk and most go to zero. This replay shows public on-chain data and our own records at the times shown. It describes what wallets did, not anyone's intentions, and it is not a prediction for any other coin. Report a mistake