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Rug replay

GRID: the first 3 hours, minute by minute

Grok Grid on Solana, launched 30 October 2026 at 01:41 UK time. We recorded 3 hours of one-minute prices from 01:50. 7 warning signs lit up along the way, and 24 hours after launch it had collapsed.

  • Spiking
  • Cooling off
  • Sliding
  • Settling
  • Quiet
  • Warning sign
  • Serious sign or the fall
  • Other event
Minute 0 of 197
Latest warning signPress play to start the replay.

7 warning signs in this replay.

1x plays one minute of the coin's life every second. Keys: Space plays or pauses, J and L jump 10 minutes, and the arrow keys move the slider one minute.

Prices are our own one-minute records. Buys vs sells are counts of trades in the past 5 minutes, not dollars. Times are UK time. Where our live records had a gap, we used the coin's case file or DexScreener prices every 2 minutes; each event names its source.

Every event, with its time and source

  1. We first saw it on our live boardSource: lab.db event (first_seen), minute 0.
  2. Paid profile bought on DexScreener

    DexScreener's own timestamp for the order.

    Source: lab.db event (promo), minute 0.
  3. First check: grade C, 1 warning sign

    6 wallets bought identical bags.

    Source: outcomes.db first_check, minute 0.
  4. Phase: Spiking

    The price was at least 3x its lowest point of the past hour.

    A paid boost, profile or ad was bought in the hour before.

    Source: phase.db phase_log 52907, minute 0.
  5. Paid profile bought while up 8.4x in an hour

    Paid profile bought 1 minute ago on DexScreener.

    The price is up 741% over the last hour (8.4x).

    Market value $23.5k, still on its launchpad bonding curve.

    An hour later the price was 89% lower than when we logged this.

    Our read: paid attention arriving after a 3x move gives the early holders a crowd to exit into.

    Source: findings.db finding e01fd4ac5b64, minute 0.
  6. Phase: Cooling off

    The price was 20% or more below a high set in the past hour, after a run up.

    A paid boost, profile or ad was bought in the hour before.

    Source: phase.db phase_log 52922, minute 4.
  7. 3 same-size wallets sold or moved about $883 in 10 minutes

    3 top wallets each held between 12.63M and 12.77M tokens (about 1.4% of supply each).

    3 of them sold or moved their whole bag between our checks 10 minutes apart, about $294 each at the current price.

    Our read: same-size bags selling together is a common sign of one group exiting.

    Source: findings.db finding 7e19e09f62f6, minute 10.
  8. Left the launchpad for a full trading poolSource: lab.db event (graduated), minute 12.
  9. Our grade changed from C to ESource: lab.db event (grade), 1 change, minute 12.
  10. Highest price in our minute bars, market value $34.5kSource: lab.db bar, computed, minute 13.
  11. Price fell below half its peak, 68% down

    10 minutes after the peak.

    Source: lab.db bar, computed, minute 23.
  12. Liquidity fell 62% in 8 minutes, $12.4k to $4.7k

    Liquidity went from $12.4k to $4.7k in 8 minutes.

    The price moved -80% over the same time.

    Market value is now $6k.

    Source: findings.db finding 2b62bf18a1cf, minute 26.
  13. Our grade changed 5 times in 7 minutes, ending at F

    It moved between E and F as new checks came in, from 02:16 to 02:22.

    Source: lab.db event (grade), 5 changes, minute 26.
  14. Linked insider wallets hold 12% of supply

    RugCheck links 21 wallets in 4 groups by shared funding.

    Together they hold 12% of supply, about $511 at the current price.

    The largest single group holds 5.0%.

    Liquidity is $3.6k.

    Source: findings.db finding 66803419962e, minute 41.
  15. Phase: Sliding

    Each 20-minute low of the past hour was lower than the one before.

    A paid boost, profile or ad was bought in the hour before.

    Source: phase.db phase_log 53179, minute 56.
  16. Phase: Quiet

    Under $2,000 was traded in the past hour.

    Source: phase.db phase_log 53335, minute 92.
  17. 24 hours after launch: collapsed, 93% below the highest price we recorded

    Collapsed: the price was under a tenth of its peak, or liquidity was under $1,000 outside the launchpad.

    Source: outcomes.db outcomes.out24_status, after our minute bars end.

What the check showed before the fall

Our first check graded GRID C at 01:50 UK time, 9 minutes after launch, with 1 warning sign:

6 wallets bought identical bagsSame-size bags in several top wallets usually means one team bought at launch across many wallets (a bundle).

The price first fell below half its peak at 02:13, 10 minutes after its highest point in our records. Before that, 4 of the 7 warning signs in this replay had appeared:

  • 01:50 First check: grade C, 1 warning sign
  • 01:50 Paid profile bought while up 8.4x in an hour
  • 02:00 3 same-size wallets sold or moved about $883 in 10 minutes
  • 02:02 Our grade changed from C to E

3 more signs appeared after the fall began.

24 hours after launch: collapsed, 93% below the highest price we recorded.

Not financial advice. Memecoins are extremely high risk and most go to zero. This replay shows public on-chain data and our own records at the times shown. It describes what wallets did, not anyone's intentions, and it is not a prediction for any other coin. Report a mistake