Rug replay
GRID: the first 3 hours, minute by minute
Grok Grid on Solana, launched 30 October 2026 at 01:41 UK time. We recorded 3 hours of one-minute prices from 01:50. 7 warning signs lit up along the way, and 24 hours after launch it had collapsed.
- Spiking
- Cooling off
- Sliding
- Settling
- Quiet
- Warning sign
- Serious sign or the fall
- Other event
7 warning signs in this replay.
1x plays one minute of the coin's life every second. Keys: Space plays or pauses, J and L jump 10 minutes, and the arrow keys move the slider one minute.
Prices are our own one-minute records. Buys vs sells are counts of trades in the past 5 minutes, not dollars. Times are UK time. Where our live records had a gap, we used the coin's case file or DexScreener prices every 2 minutes; each event names its source.
Every event, with its time and source
- We first saw it on our live boardSource: lab.db event (first_seen), minute 0.
- Paid profile bought on DexScreener
DexScreener's own timestamp for the order.
Source: lab.db event (promo), minute 0. - First check: grade C, 1 warning sign
6 wallets bought identical bags.
Source: outcomes.db first_check, minute 0. - Phase: Spiking
The price was at least 3x its lowest point of the past hour.
A paid boost, profile or ad was bought in the hour before.
Source: phase.db phase_log 52907, minute 0. - Paid profile bought while up 8.4x in an hour
Paid profile bought 1 minute ago on DexScreener.
The price is up 741% over the last hour (8.4x).
Market value $23.5k, still on its launchpad bonding curve.
An hour later the price was 89% lower than when we logged this.
Our read: paid attention arriving after a 3x move gives the early holders a crowd to exit into.
Source: findings.db finding e01fd4ac5b64, minute 0. - Phase: Cooling off
The price was 20% or more below a high set in the past hour, after a run up.
A paid boost, profile or ad was bought in the hour before.
Source: phase.db phase_log 52922, minute 4. - 3 same-size wallets sold or moved about $883 in 10 minutes
3 top wallets each held between 12.63M and 12.77M tokens (about 1.4% of supply each).
3 of them sold or moved their whole bag between our checks 10 minutes apart, about $294 each at the current price.
Our read: same-size bags selling together is a common sign of one group exiting.
Source: findings.db finding 7e19e09f62f6, minute 10. - Left the launchpad for a full trading poolSource: lab.db event (graduated), minute 12.
- Our grade changed from C to ESource: lab.db event (grade), 1 change, minute 12.
- Highest price in our minute bars, market value $34.5kSource: lab.db bar, computed, minute 13.
- Price fell below half its peak, 68% down
10 minutes after the peak.
Source: lab.db bar, computed, minute 23. - Liquidity fell 62% in 8 minutes, $12.4k to $4.7k
Liquidity went from $12.4k to $4.7k in 8 minutes.
The price moved -80% over the same time.
Market value is now $6k.
Source: findings.db finding 2b62bf18a1cf, minute 26. - Our grade changed 5 times in 7 minutes, ending at F
It moved between E and F as new checks came in, from 02:16 to 02:22.
Source: lab.db event (grade), 5 changes, minute 26. - Linked insider wallets hold 12% of supply
RugCheck links 21 wallets in 4 groups by shared funding.
Together they hold 12% of supply, about $511 at the current price.
The largest single group holds 5.0%.
Liquidity is $3.6k.
Source: findings.db finding 66803419962e, minute 41. - Phase: Sliding
Each 20-minute low of the past hour was lower than the one before.
A paid boost, profile or ad was bought in the hour before.
Source: phase.db phase_log 53179, minute 56. - Phase: Quiet
Under $2,000 was traded in the past hour.
Source: phase.db phase_log 53335, minute 92. - 24 hours after launch: collapsed, 93% below the highest price we recorded
Collapsed: the price was under a tenth of its peak, or liquidity was under $1,000 outside the launchpad.
Source: outcomes.db outcomes.out24_status, after our minute bars end.
What the check showed before the fall
Our first check graded GRID C at 01:50 UK time, 9 minutes after launch, with 1 warning sign:
The price first fell below half its peak at 02:13, 10 minutes after its highest point in our records. Before that, 4 of the 7 warning signs in this replay had appeared:
- 01:50 First check: grade C, 1 warning sign
- 01:50 Paid profile bought while up 8.4x in an hour
- 02:00 3 same-size wallets sold or moved about $883 in 10 minutes
- 02:02 Our grade changed from C to E
3 more signs appeared after the fall began.
24 hours after launch: collapsed, 93% below the highest price we recorded.